mue 26 wrote:south carmain wrote:
there's absolutely no guarantee of that, I don't see why people who couldn't be bothered to sign a petition that takes no registration would suddenly come out of no where and give money to make the 3rd possibly happen. Sure the latter has a higher possibility of succeeding but I doubt these people care enough to follow shenmue news and donate if it did happen.
let's not forget that a lot of people that signed the petition are now also grown up, have families and couldn't care less about video games at all let alone shenmue.
There's a lot of factors that make me believe that it is entirely possible that the kickstarter won't reach the amount of funds required to make it happen and really not that many that would make me believe that it's a sure thing. personally I believe we have a much better chance of getting it if it is privately funded by a major gaming company
There is no guarantee of anything in life, but this is Shenmue. 3. we are talking about. If Yu Suzuki announced an actual legitimate kickstarter for it, the fucking internet would explode, or at least the gaming side of it would. Can you not imagine it? Everyone would be like "for reals?!" and it would be front page news of every website, every forum unlike any kickstarter project we have ever seen. And I still think that more people would contribute to it than have contributed to any campaign. Many people believe online petitions do fuck all, and having personally started up many a TeamYu thread on many a forum, I have to spoken to countless self confessed Shenmue fans who admitted to me that they flat out don't believe in fan campaigns and won't participate. A Kickstarter would activate these people as well as the other dormant fans who gave up on Shenmue 3, like nothing else would. To be honest, I think it's got to the point where people who aren't even Shenmue fans would contribute to the kickstarter, that's how mythical Shenmue 3 has become over the last decade.
Look how much projects like that sort of generic sounding RPG being made by that Australian guy could make. Shenmue would top that no problem. I'm not saying that that is enough for a fully fledged Shenmue 3, but it could and would generate a lot.
I think you're being way too optimistic. the shenmue series is still not that well known especially amongst today's gamers. And it's impossible that the fanbase goes above the 200k that shenmue 2 sold which counts the Japanese market that doesn't have the reputation of being very active and the majority probably don't even speak English for that matter.
Be honest, do you think these countless fans who can't even be bothered to sign a petition that takes 10 seconds but would somehow put down money are even more than a hundred? and how would these people who don't care about video games even know there is a kickstarter about shenmue 3 or give money towards something they no longer care about.
And the fact that this is shenmue 3 is the precise reason why I think it would have difficulty amassing the necessary fund
1. it requires a lot more money than the rpg/strategy games commonly advertised on kickstarter
2. no one really wants shenmue 3 or a game like it except it's fans which aren't that many
(games like shadowrun have the advantage of appealing to the craved cyberpunk fanbase and people who like the genre in general while shenmue appeals more to an already saturated market)
3. so far the levels of hype haven't even come close to pre 2005 levels whenever there was a notable rumour of shenmue 3 possibly being made as seen here http://www.google.co.uk/trends/explore? ... 203&cmpt=q if there are that many people wanting it then it's to be expected that they would at least be googling for news when Yu suzuki said he thought SEGA would let him make it