Not a hard question to throw a guess at. But perhaps there's information some may have missed which could help us see where and when Shenmue 3 will appear.
So we know TGS is out right? That was confirmed yea? That means Sony's recently announced Japan conference before E3 is a bust? After that is Paris Games Week, then PSX, then Monaco Magic, and then E3. So there's a nice wide range of events to guess.
So where do you think Shenmue 3 will appear next? Personally, I have to go all in and double down on PSX for a combined Shenmue 3 trailer and HD announcements. It's time.